COMPASS Releases Local Growth Scenarios

by

When Boise City Council members meet for a work session on Tuesday, June 5, a review of growth scenarios compiled by the Community Planning Association of Southwest Idaho will take center stage.

That document includes four growth scenario maps as part of an update to regional transportation plans. Jobs, housing availability and variety, traffic, schools and other details factor into the planning group's figures.

Total population projected for the Boise Planning Area is expected to swell to between 301,785 and 336,505 people by the year 2040.

Forecasts for specific area neighborhoods include a projected shrink in Foothills neighborhood population, down from the 13,000 projected for 2035 to 9,900 for all four scenarios. Increases for the Central Bench and significant drops in the downtown and southeast populations are also included. COMPASS projects a drop in the 2035 forecast of 14,213 people to a range of 8,000 to 11,000 people.

The plan also forecasts a significant drop in jobs downtown across all four scenarios. The 2035 forecast was 70,983 jobs, above the 2010 estimate at 30,673. However, the 2040 forecast now shows a range of 42,346 to 47,298.